HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

HOUSTON, March 28, 2008 - A COLD FRONT OVER NORTH TEXAS IS EXPECTED TO ENTER SOUTHEAST TEXAS AROUND MID AFTERNOON AND THEN STALL NEAR A BRENHAM TO HUNTSVILLE TO TRINITY LINE LATE THIS EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST. THE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE AND FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE TO LIKELY PRODUCE AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY. THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE...WITH HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. THE THREAT AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A BRENHAM TO HUNTSVILLE TO TRINITY LINE. THIS THREAT AREA COULD SHIFT A LITTLE TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING IF THE FRONT MAKES IT A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH THAN EXPECTED.

SATURDAY A FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO GENERATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE...WITH HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.